More Talks and Missiles
Rapture Forum Staff: Chris
A current Jerusalem Post article is reporting that the European Union has declared that they will not support military action on Iran and want to continue "talking" with the Iranians. The article reports:
European Union foreign ministers said they would not support a military strike on Iran, but want more talks to try to resolve worries Teheran might be developing nuclear weapons.
I guess the Europeans have simply forgotten that they have spent the last 4-5 years "talking" to the Iranians with absolutely nothing to show for it. To me, this is simply more appeasement at it's worse considering that Iran is driven by a fantical ideology and regime that would not think twice about attacking Israel or anyone else for that matter. The current ruling regime in Tehran is run by end times fanatics that believe it is their duty to bring about chaos here in the last days to pave way for their messiah figure called the 12th imam.
In an effort to rattle the international community, Iran announced that oil prices could climb skyward of $500 a barrel should Iran come under attack for it's nuclear program. The article reported:
Khatibi also said oil exports from the whole Middle East region would be at risk if the Islamic state came under any military attack over its disputed nuclear programme. "If there is another war in the region, it will not only be Iran's oil not reaching the market, but rather the oil of the whole region would be cut from the market," Khatibi said. "In that case, we will not have a price rise. We will have a price explosion."
According to the article:
Around 40 percent of global oil shipments leave the Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz off Iran's southern coast and Tehran has threatened to impose controls on shipping there if it is attacked, and warned Gulf neighbors of reprisals if they took part.
In an effort to claim short term gains, the international community would more than liklely continue on with "talks" with Iran, as opposed to making a long term gain of removing the Iranian nuclear program through a military strike. With adequate military assets in the region and Persian Gulf, it is estimated that the international community could keep Iran in check enough to keep oil traffic uneffected or at least keep disruptions to a minimum. However, as we've talked about previously in the Rapture Report, there are serious shortcomimgs with the international community in regards to taking meaningful military action on Iran.
In other news, another interesting article reports that the Russian anti-aircraft missiles will not be delivered to Iran until 2009. The Russian made S-300 anti-aircraft missile batteries are seen as a serious threat should the US/Israel decide to strike Iran as a result of the nuclear situation. The Jerusalem Post is citing the Pentagon as saying:
Iran is not expected to receive an advanced Russian-made anti-aircraft system this year, Pentagon officials were quoted by Army Radio as saying on Friday. The US assessment is at odds with a view expressed by the Israeli intelligence community earlier this week. Military analysts say the S-300 missile batteries might become a significant hindrance to any Israeli plans to strike Iran's nuclear facilities. On Wednesday, Israeli sources said Iran was set to receive the system, also known in the West as the SA-20, by the end of the year.
The Russian S-300 is described as:
The S-300 is one of the best multi-target anti-aircraft-missile systems in the world today and has a reported ability to track up to 100 targets simultaneously while engaging up to 12 at the same time.
It was also noted in the article that it is likely Iran already owns some of these systmes, but it is questionable as to how they obtained them and from who.
As for the importance of the Russian S-300 system, there are many rumors and speculations that Israel would want to strike Iran before the delivery and activation of these anti-aircraft batteries as their deployment would create additional barriers to a successful military operation against Iran. Further:
Earlier this month, award-winning journalist Edwin Black reported that the IAF exercise over Greece last month was conducted so Israeli fighter jets could study the S-300 air-defense missile system, which is deployed on the island of Crete.
As we reported earlier this month, the tension in the Middle East remains at a high level, and shows no signs of letting up anytime soon. In fact, I would suggest that things are going to get pretty interesting over the next 3-5 months given the US elections and closing window of opportunity on taking care of the Iranian threat. Until next time.......